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by drob on 2020-05-05 (UTC).

The "cubic model" from @CEA + Kevin Hassett was pretty clearly fit on log(deaths + 1). Which is... pretty dangerous for forecasting.

Just imagine if they'd fit a quartic model pic.twitter.com/VTlFoD9qvC

— David Robinson (@drob) May 5, 2020
miscdatavizforecast
by drob on 2020-05-05 (UTC).

Code here: https://t.co/vg6S4LmQ67 pic.twitter.com/CRn5mh5T3p

— David Robinson (@drob) May 5, 2020
rstats

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