Kudos to the folks @FiveThirtyEight for recognizing the importance of cross-checking probability forecasts with outcomes. https://t.co/pOgDEN8plQ pic.twitter.com/c7MpaD0fql
— Michael Lopez (@StatsbyLopez) April 4, 2019
Kudos to the folks @FiveThirtyEight for recognizing the importance of cross-checking probability forecasts with outcomes. https://t.co/pOgDEN8plQ pic.twitter.com/c7MpaD0fql
— Michael Lopez (@StatsbyLopez) April 4, 2019
Here's the interactive itself. Obviously, there are lots of ways to criticize 538. But some of the more philosophical criticisms about probabilistic forecasting just don't hold up very well if you look at the actual track record. https://t.co/9DIWaNObp6
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 4, 2019